The reason that bigwigs like Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and National Security Advisor Stephen Hadley have put the brakes on the sale is this: With the election of Ma Ying-jeou as Taiwan’s president, Taiwan and China have their first real chance in eight years to improve ties. There are already voices among that crowd that Ma is “selling out” Taiwan, and that he plans to help China achieve its dream of re-unification with Taiwan. In other words, trust everybody, but cut the cards.
The United States is worried that a big arms sales package is going to throw a spanner in the works and give China an excuse to sulk – something the mandarins in Beijing so love to do. Ma must also comfort the American side by appearing eager to buy the weapons.
Should the United States be selling weapons to Taiwan now that Taiwan and China are getting closer?
This is a nettlesome question that the Bush administration doesn’t want to answer, at least until the president returns from the Olympic Games in China in August.
Taiwan has been denied access to that august body since the 1970s, when it was tossed out of the UN in favor of the People’s Republic of China. Only after the two sides make progress on those two areas – trade and Taiwan’s international presence – will we be able to expect movement on security issues and China’s some 700 missiles that aim at Taiwan along the southeastern Chinese coast.
Given the complexity of the issue, Bush might punt the arms sales question to the next administration.
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